Adrián Álvarez Adán

DOI: 10.59427/rcli/2024/v24.103-109

The behavior of precipitation in the Mayabeque basin and its projections for the region are diagnosed according to the possible future climatic contexts expected for Cuba. For them, average monthly precipitation data were used from the period 1961 – 2020 from five meteorological stations of the Institute of Meteorology in the region under study. Its analysis was carried out through time series analysis. With the analysis of future contexts of climate change, precipitation anomalies in both scenarios (A2 and B2) are accentuated, with values between 13 and 22% respectively. This decrease is manifested in the annual and monthly water deficits as well as in the behavior by periods. It is concluded that the Mayabeque basin must begin to project adaptation measures to the effects of climate change.

Pág 103-109, 30 Dic